Shortages are projected over the next 10 years in some high-skilled occupations

Shortages are projected over the next 10 years in some high-skilled occupations

• Skill Types
  • Business, Finance and Administration Occupations
• Occupations in Shortage
  • Human Resources and Business Service Professionals (NOC 112), Administrative and Regulatory Occupations (NOC 122)
• Skill Types
  • Natural and Applied Sciences and Related Occupations
• Occupations in Shortage
  • Other Engineers (NOC 214), Architects, Urban Planners and Land Surveyors (NOC 215), Mathematicians, Statisticians and Actuaries (NOC 216)
• Skill Types
  • Health Occupations
• Occupations in Shortage
  • Managers in Health, Education, Social and Community Services (NOC 031), Physicians, Dentists and Veterinarians (NOC 311), Optometrists, Chiropractors and Other Health Diagnosing and Treating Professionals (312), Therapy and Assessment Professionals (NOC 314), Nurse Supervisors and Registered Nurses (NOC 315), Medical Technologists and Technicians (NOC 321), Assisting Occupations in Support of Health Services (NOC 341)
• Skill Types
  • Occupations in Social Science, Education, Government Service and Religion
• Occupations in Shortage
  • Managers in Health, Education, Social and Community Services (NOC 041), Judges, Lawyers and Quebec Notaries (NOC 411), College and Other vocational Instructors (NOC 413), Policy and Program Officers, Researchers and Consultants (NOC 416)
• Skill Types
  • Sales and Service Occupations
• Occupations in Shortage
  • Managers in Protective Services (NOC 064), Insurance and Real Estates Sales Occupations and Buyers (NOC 623), Police Officers and Firefighters (NOC 626), Other Occupations in Protective Service (NOC 646)
• Skill Types
  • Trades Transport and Equipment Operators and Related Occupations
• Occupations in Shortage
  • Managers in Construction and Transportation (NOC 071)
• Skill Types
  • Occupations Unique to Primary Industry
• Occupations in Shortage
  • Supervisors Logging and Forestry (NOC 821), Supervisors, Mining, Oil and Gas (NOC 822), Contractors, Operators and Supervisors in Agriculture, Horticulture and Aquaculture (NOC 825)

Source: HRSDC 2011 COPS Reference Scenario.

The table shows the distribution of occupations in shortage among skill types. This table shows that, although most skill types are represented in the table, most occupations in shortage can be found in the health sector.

A large number of occupations that are expected to face labour shortages (excess labour demand) over the next ten years are in health, management, trades, transport and equipment and in the primary sector. They are almost all high skilled occupations (occupations usually requiring a college or a university education, or management occupations).

Data on employment growth, wage growth and unemployment rate suggest that all the occupations projected to face labour shortages in the medium term were already in that situation or in balance in recent years. For instance, higher health care needs due to population ageing will increase demand for several health care occupations to levels markedly higher than can be met by current projected supply. Retirements will contribute more to these shortages over the medium term than new job creation.